I've had to adjust my thinking to this strategy a little because before, we were concerned about catching the breakout and that was it. Now we're going to pull pips off the reversals that were plaguing us to help offset any full reversals we'll encounter and to be ready with trades already in place when the breakouts occur. Now, we will not catch every breakout, but that is okay as we are not going to sacrifice discipline for the sake of making profits, it doesn't pay to be greedy. Here you will find a revised version of my Simple London Breakout strategy. After some complications with regards to handling reversals within the original strategy, I sat down and studied the past charts to try and find a better way to take advantage of the days where we would get stuck in a ranging period. What I wanted to accomplish was to try and alleviate, or at least minimize, the damage of being stopped out on those reversals after our initial entries.
As I was finished working on other projects, I came back to my original strategy and I noticed a few things that were happening that we could take advantage of and make work to our benefit. I also found a few ways to try and help protect our profit taking along the way. What I was seeing was how often we would have our entry point hit and then magically have an immediate reversal right after that. A good friend suggested that in may be due to the fact that I was starting too early (the first strategy had the box end at the Frankfurt open at 7:00 GMT) and that I should include that whole hour and start the box right at the London open because we were probably getting false spikes from the Frankfurt open. He also suggested that maybe try and use the old entry point as a target instead. I will have to give some credit to rjlacha as I then remembered he open a thread a while back and was using the edge of the box as his entry point and I thought that could possibly work.
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So, with the help of sqaulou's extraordinary coding skills, we develop a modified version of the London Breakout indicator for everyone to use (sqaulou is currently playing around with a new EA for this strategy which will come later after it is tested properly first). What we did was use the edge of the box as the new Entry Point the way rjlacha uses it and and incorporated a 3 tiered Profit Target setup to grab pips earlier in the trade and still be able to take more pips when the breakout occurs. As you all know, I am a big user of martingale techniques and that is carried over from the first thread with a little twist to it that I'll explain later as we put up some examples. So over the next few posts I'll be showing examples of perfect setups, reversal setups, and how we take profits in different scenarios.
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The big difference in the modified indicator is that the "MaxBoxSizeInPips" parameter is now "MinBoxSizeInPips". The reason why is because our first profit target is not far from the entry point and we don't want the spread to eat up all the profit. Because of the parameter change it is best to use pairs with a smaller spread. You can use a pair with a larger spread but make sure to increase the "MinBoxSizeInPips" appropriately (default is 25). We really want to stay away from large boxes over 100-120 pips because Target 1's will be tough to reach and stop outs when we have reversals will be very costly. We have incorporated a 3 tiered profit target to this indicator to help the trader to visually see when to close each trade and when to adjust your stops. The default box times are from 05:00 to 08:00 GMT and we will not place any new trades after 17:00 GMT on Fridays as we do not want to get caught up in any gaps over the weekend. In fact, if you are showing any sign of profitability, I would suggest closing the trade and not holding them over the weekend. If your broker is GMT +0, you do not have to change anything. But if your broker for example is GMT +2 as with FXCBS (this is the broker I will be using for my examples), just add 2 hours to all the times to be correct. I'm using FXCBS because they have very lows spreads. You can check the spread of most brokers here to see where they stand compared to others. I've attached this indicator here to post #1 along with my template that I use.
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I will only be watching 5 pairs on a 15 minute chart:
Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Eur/Jpy, Usd/Cad, and Gbp/Jpy.
Gbp/Jpy is my experimental pair and have raised the minimum box size to 35. I will give setup examples using all the pairs but I will only be posting trade examples on Eur/Usd only to save time. I'm sure everyone will get the hang of it pretty quickly and be able to read the other charts on their own.
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*Before we start, as courtesy, please refrain from comments about the nature of martingale strategies. We all know by now any inherent risks involved with using them and do not need to be reminded over and over. If you are one of those who hate martingale strategies, please just move on and not disrupt the thread, this will obviously not be for you. Also, please do not flood the thread with "you should do this or add this" or "this would work better" comments. I want prefer to stick to the original strategy posted, but if you want to play around with the settings and add other indicators, please feel free to do so on your own, otherwise it confuses those who want to follow the original premise of the strategy, thank you.*
Alright, sqaulou, our coder extraordinaire, has modified the indicator and added two new functions. Well, actually, one function was an old function that was added back in and the second one is new.
First one he added back into the indicator was the "MaxBoxSizeInPips" function. This works similar to the "MinBoxSizeInPips" parameter in that it draws a red box that says "No Trade!" when the box is over "X" number of pips
.jpg)
Now the new function added to the indicator is called the "LimitBoxToMaxSize". What it allows us to do on occasions where the standard box size is too large, is it limits the tradable box size to "X" number of pips. The indicator will then calculate and center the box based on the median EMA comprised of the 12 bars of the box. that way we start with a box that is not too wide, but properly centered.
Examples are shown in posts 62 & 63. I've updated the template to use the new version of the indicator.
sqaulou and I have added two (2) more target levels to the LBO indicator and have posted it below along with a new template. For those traders out there that like to let your trades run, this is for you. The neat option sqaulou added on this one is when you set the "TPFactor5" to "0", the indicator will only show 3 targets instead of 5. So you basically have 2 indicators in one. He also added a "BO" comment below the box (for BreakOut) to help distinguish the BreakOut strategy from the new Counter Trend strategy that will be introduced.
You will only see the input for TPFactor5 in the indicator's parameters because TPFactor 4 is calculated the same as TPFactor2, by adding Target 3 & 5 together and dividing them by 2. Target 5 is set to the 3.618 Fib extension by default. Feel free to change it to whatever you are comfortable using. He has also fixed it to where the zones are drawn over the weekend as well.
***UPDATE***
I have made a few changes (starting in post #988) regarding how to close trades and have e-mailed sqaulou to see if he can update the EA with these new changes
3_Tier_London_Breakout_EA_v1.3b.mq4
3_Tier_London_Breakout_V.3.2b.mq4
As I was finished working on other projects, I came back to my original strategy and I noticed a few things that were happening that we could take advantage of and make work to our benefit. I also found a few ways to try and help protect our profit taking along the way. What I was seeing was how often we would have our entry point hit and then magically have an immediate reversal right after that. A good friend suggested that in may be due to the fact that I was starting too early (the first strategy had the box end at the Frankfurt open at 7:00 GMT) and that I should include that whole hour and start the box right at the London open because we were probably getting false spikes from the Frankfurt open. He also suggested that maybe try and use the old entry point as a target instead. I will have to give some credit to rjlacha as I then remembered he open a thread a while back and was using the edge of the box as his entry point and I thought that could possibly work.
So, with the help of sqaulou's extraordinary coding skills, we develop a modified version of the London Breakout indicator for everyone to use (sqaulou is currently playing around with a new EA for this strategy which will come later after it is tested properly first). What we did was use the edge of the box as the new Entry Point the way rjlacha uses it and and incorporated a 3 tiered Profit Target setup to grab pips earlier in the trade and still be able to take more pips when the breakout occurs. As you all know, I am a big user of martingale techniques and that is carried over from the first thread with a little twist to it that I'll explain later as we put up some examples. So over the next few posts I'll be showing examples of perfect setups, reversal setups, and how we take profits in different scenarios.
The big difference in the modified indicator is that the "MaxBoxSizeInPips" parameter is now "MinBoxSizeInPips". The reason why is because our first profit target is not far from the entry point and we don't want the spread to eat up all the profit. Because of the parameter change it is best to use pairs with a smaller spread. You can use a pair with a larger spread but make sure to increase the "MinBoxSizeInPips" appropriately (default is 25). We really want to stay away from large boxes over 100-120 pips because Target 1's will be tough to reach and stop outs when we have reversals will be very costly. We have incorporated a 3 tiered profit target to this indicator to help the trader to visually see when to close each trade and when to adjust your stops. The default box times are from 05:00 to 08:00 GMT and we will not place any new trades after 17:00 GMT on Fridays as we do not want to get caught up in any gaps over the weekend. In fact, if you are showing any sign of profitability, I would suggest closing the trade and not holding them over the weekend. If your broker is GMT +0, you do not have to change anything. But if your broker for example is GMT +2 as with FXCBS (this is the broker I will be using for my examples), just add 2 hours to all the times to be correct. I'm using FXCBS because they have very lows spreads. You can check the spread of most brokers here to see where they stand compared to others. I've attached this indicator here to post #1 along with my template that I use.
I will only be watching 5 pairs on a 15 minute chart:
Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Eur/Jpy, Usd/Cad, and Gbp/Jpy.
Gbp/Jpy is my experimental pair and have raised the minimum box size to 35. I will give setup examples using all the pairs but I will only be posting trade examples on Eur/Usd only to save time. I'm sure everyone will get the hang of it pretty quickly and be able to read the other charts on their own.
*Before we start, as courtesy, please refrain from comments about the nature of martingale strategies. We all know by now any inherent risks involved with using them and do not need to be reminded over and over. If you are one of those who hate martingale strategies, please just move on and not disrupt the thread, this will obviously not be for you. Also, please do not flood the thread with "you should do this or add this" or "this would work better" comments. I want prefer to stick to the original strategy posted, but if you want to play around with the settings and add other indicators, please feel free to do so on your own, otherwise it confuses those who want to follow the original premise of the strategy, thank you.*
Alright, sqaulou, our coder extraordinaire, has modified the indicator and added two new functions. Well, actually, one function was an old function that was added back in and the second one is new.
First one he added back into the indicator was the "MaxBoxSizeInPips" function. This works similar to the "MinBoxSizeInPips" parameter in that it draws a red box that says "No Trade!" when the box is over "X" number of pips
Now the new function added to the indicator is called the "LimitBoxToMaxSize". What it allows us to do on occasions where the standard box size is too large, is it limits the tradable box size to "X" number of pips. The indicator will then calculate and center the box based on the median EMA comprised of the 12 bars of the box. that way we start with a box that is not too wide, but properly centered.
Examples are shown in posts 62 & 63. I've updated the template to use the new version of the indicator.
sqaulou and I have added two (2) more target levels to the LBO indicator and have posted it below along with a new template. For those traders out there that like to let your trades run, this is for you. The neat option sqaulou added on this one is when you set the "TPFactor5" to "0", the indicator will only show 3 targets instead of 5. So you basically have 2 indicators in one. He also added a "BO" comment below the box (for BreakOut) to help distinguish the BreakOut strategy from the new Counter Trend strategy that will be introduced.
You will only see the input for TPFactor5 in the indicator's parameters because TPFactor 4 is calculated the same as TPFactor2, by adding Target 3 & 5 together and dividing them by 2. Target 5 is set to the 3.618 Fib extension by default. Feel free to change it to whatever you are comfortable using. He has also fixed it to where the zones are drawn over the weekend as well.
***UPDATE***
I have made a few changes (starting in post #988) regarding how to close trades and have e-mailed sqaulou to see if he can update the EA with these new changes
3_Tier_London_Breakout_EA_v1.3b.mq4
3_Tier_London_Breakout_V.3.2b.mq4
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